28 Jul · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1328
FormLWLLW
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1675
FormLWWLL
18%
82%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 38% (16)
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~74 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+347
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+347)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)