28 Jul · 18:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1390
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Mrugala
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1319
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
🌟Mrugala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Mrugala
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)