28 Jul · 20:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1467
FormLLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1783
FormLWWWW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~72 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+316
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+316)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)