28 Jul · 19:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1468
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1577
FormLLWWL
38%
62%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H31-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-23)