28 Jul · 21:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1466
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1571
FormLLLWW
39%
61%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H23-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-11)