28 Jul · 22:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1434
FormLWLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1568
FormWLLLW
36%
64%
🌟Koczyba stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H18-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-1)