28 Jul · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1378
FormWLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Przewlocki
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1297
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)