28 Jul · 23:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1474
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Brunner
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1466
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Brunner
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 40% · 2.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H8-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.