28 Jul · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1790
FormWWLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Molenda
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1571
FormLLLWW
73%
27%
🌟Nocun covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~73 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+219
H2H17-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+219)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-1)