28 Jul · 23:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1443
FormWLWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1592
FormWWWWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~79 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)