29 Jul · 00:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1460
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vincenec
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1437
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Vincenec goes over total as favourite 67% (21)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.