29 Jul · 00:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KM
🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski
ELO 1299
FormLLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Mrugala
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1391
FormLWLWW
40%
60%
🌟Mrugala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Mrugala
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+92
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)