29 Jul · 00:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1509
FormWLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1635
FormLWLWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H37-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-22)