29 Jul · 00:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1460
FormLLWLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1794
FormWWWLW
19%
81%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~70 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
29%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+334
H2H11-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+334)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-2)