29 Jul · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1391
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kowalczyk
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1322
FormWWWLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolak🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H29-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)