29 Jul · 01:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1434
FormLLWLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1635
FormLWLWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H30-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-3)