29 Jul · 01:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1457
FormLLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1583
FormWLWLL
36%
64%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H31-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-24)