Marcin Kowalczyk vs Kacper Marchlewski — TT Elite Series

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29 Jul · 00:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1410

3-2Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Kacper Marchlewski

ELO 1286

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 51%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Kacper Marchlewski — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kacper Marchlewski favoured — closing 1.35

Upset

Total 75.5

89 points played

Over

Set handicap

Kacper Marchlewski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kacper Marchlewski −6.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

5.6

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Kacper Marchlewski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 55% → final 77%

Kacper Marchlewski ▼

Biggest swing 77 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games