29 Jul · 02:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1430
FormLLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1557
FormWWLWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)