29 Jul · 02:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1368
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mrugala
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1391
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Mrugala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (18)
Fair odds · Mrugala
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.