29 Jul · 03:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1458
FormLWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1531
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 33% · 3.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H10-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)