29 Jul · 04:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1430
FormLLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Marud
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1531
FormWWWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Marud
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 38% · 2.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H18-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)