29 Jul · 03:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1583
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1623
FormWLLWL
46%
54%
🌟Pruszkowski goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H17-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.