29 Jul · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1557
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1623
FormWLLWL
43%
57%
🌟Lebek stays under total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H41-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)