29 Jul · 06:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Perzynski
ELO 1500
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Perzynski
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1463
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Perzynski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.