29 Jul · 06:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1554
FormLWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Lebek
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1447
FormLLLWW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H27-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-16)