29 Jul · 06:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1444
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Myszewski
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1390
FormLWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H5-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)