29 Jul · 06:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1447
FormLLLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1627
FormWWLWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+180
H2H29-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-7)