29 Jul · 06:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1465
FormLLLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1677
FormWWWLL
28%
72%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (45)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+212
H2H19-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-14)