29 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1479
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1522
FormWWLWW
45%
55%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H9-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)