29 Jul · 07:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1449
FormWLWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Myszewski
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1277
FormWLWLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~80 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)