29 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Perzynski
ELO 1507
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Perzynski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1502
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Perzynski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.