29 Jul · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1447
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1486
FormLLLWL
46%
54%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H58-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.