29 Jul · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1469
FormWWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Vincenec
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1333
FormLLLLL
65%
35%
🔥 Underdog lean · Nowak🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 74% (19)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H10-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)