29 Jul · 08:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1347
FormLLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Gajda
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1450
FormLWWWW
39%
61%
🌟Gajda stays under total as favourite 71% (24)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)