29 Jul · 09:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1294
FormLWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1411
FormWLWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H17-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-10)