29 Jul · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stapor
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1480
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+46
H2H16-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-15)