29 Jul · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1343
FormLLLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Smolka
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1528
FormWWLLW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~79 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+185
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)