29 Jul · 10:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1271
FormLLWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1419
FormWWLWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)