29 Jul · 10:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1450
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1502
FormLWLLW
44%
56%
🌟Juzek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (18)
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)