29 Jul · 12:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1439
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Juzek
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1458
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Juzek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H22-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.