29 Jul · 12:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1279
FormWLLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Myszewski
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1451
FormWLWWL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~80 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)