29 Jul · 12:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1531
FormLWLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1663
FormWWWLW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H66-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-17)