29 Jul · 12:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1501
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1607
FormWWWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)