29 Jul · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Perzynski
ELO 1527
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Perzynski
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1474
FormWLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Perzynski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H16-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-14)