29 Jul · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1501
FormLLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Smolka
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1368
FormWWLLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~79 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)