29 Jul · 14:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1461
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Juzek
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1441
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Juzek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H23-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.