29 Jul · 15:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1667
FormWWWWL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Poliniewicz
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1442
FormLLWWL
73%
27%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+225
H2H29-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+225)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-12)