29 Jul · 16:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1356
FormLLLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1501
FormLWWLL
34%
66%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+145
H2H21-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-6)