29 Jul · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1281
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Szoltysek
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1348
FormLLLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H17-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)